1. The Exponential Trap: The S-Curve Reality
Singularity dogma assumes that computational capability compounds along an eternal exponential trajectory. Yet within our physical universe governed by thermodynamics, no material system compounds infinitely.
Real-world frontiers follow a logistic S-curve: initial explosive acceleration inevitably encounters physical heat dissipation thresholds, chip manufacturing yields, energy limits, and data bottlenecks, converging toward a stable maturation plateau.